The general principles of project finance that apply to the financing of solar and wind projects also apply to energy storage projects. Since the majority of solar projects currently under construction include a storage system, lenders in the project finance markets are willing to finance the construction and cashflows of an energy storage project.
Therefore, in order to provide a more realistic investment decisions framework for energy storage technology, this study develops a sequential investment decision model based on real options theory, which can consider policy, technological innovation, and market uncertainties.
By solving for the investment threshold and investment opportunity value under various uncertainties and different strategies, the optimal investment scheme can be obtained. Finally, to verify the validity of the model, it is applied to investment decisions for energy storage participation in China's peaking auxiliary service market.
Therefore, increasing the technology innovation level, as indicated by unit benefit coefficient, can promote energy storage technology investment. On the other hand, reducing the unit investment cost can mainly increase the investment opportunity value.
However, for new technologies, the investment cost is lower and the benefit is higher, which has a better investment value than the current energy storage technologies. Additionally, the investment threshold is significantly lower under the single strategy than it is under the continuous strategy.
Additionally, the investment threshold is significantly lower under the single strategy than it is under the continuous strategy. Therefore, direct investment in future energy storage technologies is the best choice when new technologies are already available.
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